Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.176314 0.202600 0.232615 0.269676 0.314546 0.367552 0.435563
2025-05-04 0.137883 0.172192 0.215859 0.276613 0.360758 0.476011 0.651007
2025-05-11 0.115362 0.153034 0.204995 0.284294 0.406812 0.597344 0.934957
2025-05-18 0.099218 0.137783 0.194381 0.287376 0.444696 0.717908 1.276206
2025-05-25 0.087214 0.125648 0.184975 0.288666 0.478394 0.842332 1.694152
2025-06-01 0.077476 0.115033 0.175482 0.286820 0.504977 0.962852 2.182726
2025-06-08 0.069260 0.105442 0.165762 0.281965 0.523756 1.074413 2.734373
2025-06-15 0.064535 0.100806 0.163515 0.290177 0.571409 1.273020 3.719022
2025-06-22 0.058641 0.093369 0.155075 0.284299 0.586139 1.396562 4.593268
2025-06-29 0.054733 0.088893 0.151345 0.287240 0.622546 1.599573 6.054439
2025-07-06 0.050631 0.083578 0.145246 0.283808 0.642051 1.763668 7.613249
2025-07-13 0.047964 0.080588 0.143245 0.289125 0.686768 2.040437 10.374170
2025-07-20 0.045681 0.078133 0.142114 0.296643 0.741967 2.402520 14.807333
2025-07-27 0.043472 0.075595 0.140496 0.302786 0.796337 2.812423 21.376629
2025-08-03 0.041628 0.073574 0.139699 0.310910 0.861088 3.336773 32.365192
2025-08-10 0.039596 0.070964 0.137261 0.314220 0.911482 3.850019 47.841470
2025-08-17 0.037626 0.068288 0.134334 0.315624 0.956289 4.392945 71.096059
2025-08-24 0.035618 0.065347 0.130443 0.313547 0.987589 4.901362 103.592917
2025-08-31 0.033591 0.062195 0.125702 0.308109 1.003789 5.338996 146.594514
2025-09-07 0.032576 0.061119 0.125782 0.317301 1.087406 6.440145 279.447433
2025-09-14 0.030790 0.058215 0.121088 0.310721 1.097917 6.954345 417.711248
2025-09-21 0.029650 0.056648 0.119542 0.314012 1.157722 8.075277 827.757383
2025-09-28 0.028250 0.054392 0.116023 0.310170 1.181254 8.890338 1495.017070